Multiple times a year, our statewide Wilder School Commonwealth Poll provides policymakers with an up-to-date snapshot of public opinion on current policy issues in the commonwealth. On this page you'll find information about recent poll highlights, as well as poll data organized by topic and by date.
Wednesday, July 16, 2025
Spanberger leads Earle-Sears 49% to 37%
Poll Highlights
Our most recent poll was conducted from June 19 to July 3, 2025, with results released in July 2025. The poll asked Virginians for their perspectives on:
- The Virginia gubernatorial election
- Approval of Gov. Glenn Youngkin
- Approval of President Trump
- Top issues facing Virginia
Virginians share their perspectives on key issues
49%
plan to vote for Spanberger
37%
plan to vote for Earle-Sears
49%
approve of Youngkin's efforts
40%
approve of Trump's efforts
The poll results show a clear message from the voters: performance matters, and so do priorities. This poll should be a wake-up call. Governor Youngkin’s slipping numbers among Independents and the overwhelming disapproval of Trump, make clear that Virginia voters are not buying political spin. They want action on the issues that hit hardest: the rising costs of living, threats to women’s rights, and immigration policies. The shift from education to economic and personal freedoms shows an engaged electorate.
Governor L. Douglas Wilder
66th Governor of Virginia
We are proud to have the Wilder School’s Commonwealth Poll selected as a Presidential Election Poll by CNN Politics for the first time in VCU’s history. Selection as a CNN-approved poll solidifies the Commonwealth Poll among the top polling operations in the nation while elevating the voice of Virginians.
Methodology
Our most recent poll was conducted from June 19 to July 3, 2025, with results released in January 2025. The methodology is as follows:
- 809 adult Virginians surveyed
- Phone survey (Landlines/Cell) – dual sample design on listed landline numbers and random digit dialed (RDD) cell phone numbers
- Sample weighted by demographics: gender, age, education, race, Hispanic origin, and region
- Overall margin of error: +/- 4.16 percentage points
References
For more information about the results, questions, and data, visit the links below:
- July 16, 2025: Spanberger leads Earle-Sears, 49% to 37%
For a comprehensive list of past poll questions, visit our Poll Guidebook.