Multiple times a year, our statewide Wilder School Commonwealth Poll provides policymakers with an up-to-date snapshot of public opinion on current policy issues in the commonwealth. On this page you'll find information about recent poll highlights, as well as poll data organized by topic and by date.
Wednesday, October 2, 2024
Harris' edge over Trump slips slightly
Poll Highlights
Our most recent poll was conducted from September 16 - 25, 2024, with results released in October 2024. The poll asked Virginians for their perspectives on:
- The November 2024 presidential election
- The most important voting issues
- Trust in the economy
- Trust with handling immigration issues
- Trust with handling reproductive rights
Virginians share their perspectives on key issues
43%
would vote for Harris
37%
would vote for Trump
38%
trust Harris with the economy
42%
trust Trump with the economy
The slip in the Harris lead, though not alarming, should be a wake-up call, as the sampling error of plus or minus 4.64 sends a message. Independents could make a real difference. The race in Virginia could be decided by who gets their voters to turn out, and voting has already started.
Governor L. Douglas Wilder
66th Governor of Virginia
We are proud to have the Wilder School’s Commonwealth Poll selected as a Presidential Election Poll by CNN Politics for the first time in VCU’s history. Selection as a CNN-approved poll solidifies the Commonwealth Poll among the top polling operations in the nation while elevating the voice of Virginians.
Methodology
Our most recent poll was conducted from September 16 - September 25, 2024, with results released in October 2024. The methodology is as follows:
- 832 adult Virginians surveyed
- Phone survey (Landlines/Cell) – dual sample design on listed landline numbers and random digit dialed (RDD) cell phone numbers
- Sample weighted by demographics: gender, age, education, race, Hispanic origin, and region
- Overall margin of error: +/- 4.64 percentage points
References
For more information about the results, questions, and data, visit the links below:
- October 2, 2024: Harris' edge over Trump slips slightly
For a comprehensive list of past poll questions, visit our Poll Guidebook.